TMT Breakout

TMT Breakout

TMTB Morning Wrap

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TMT Breakout
Aug 25, 2026
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Good morning. Futures +95bps looking brighter than yesterday as Crude -3%. News overnight pointed to calming of US/Iran tensions. Yields down 2-4 bps across the curve.

In the US, Semis +2% while internet/software are flat. BE +5% leading the way higher following through on the Pelosi buy while memory (SNDK +4%) is following Asia up overnight. TMT Mo +3%

Asia mixed overnight: Asia. TPX +0.5%, NKY +0.5%, Hang Seng -0.02%, HSCEI -0.31%, SHCOMP +0.19%, Shenzhen +0.33%, Taiwan TAIEX +0.91%, Korea KOSPI +0.68%. Memory higher with Hynix +3% and Samsung +2%.

We get ZM and INTU earnings tonight. Let’s get straight to it…


AMD: Raymond James upgrades to Strong Buy, sees agentic AI driving new CPU growth leg

Raymond James upgrades AMD from Outperform to Strong Buy, arguing agentic AI creates a distinct CPU demand pool as agents increasingly handle orchestration, retrieval, databases, security and tool execution around each model call. RJ sees the server CPU market reaching ~$201B by CY30, including ~$85B of agentic CPUs and ~$83B of AI head-end CPUs, with AMD offering the best combination of direct earnings leverage, datacenter positioning and potential share gains. Its base case is broadly consistent with NVDA’s ~$200B CPU TAM framework and below AMD’s ~$220B view, leaving upside if agent adoption and accelerator deployments run stronger.


DT: Morgan Stanley upgrades to OW, PT to $65 from $58 on renewal-driven reacceleration

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