TMT Breakout

TMT Breakout

Share this post

TMT Breakout
TMT Breakout
TMTB Morning Wrap
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More

TMTB Morning Wrap

TMT Breakout's avatar
TMT Breakout
Jan 02, 2025
∙ Paid
8

Share this post

TMT Breakout
TMT Breakout
TMTB Morning Wrap
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
1
Share

And we’re back! QQQs +1% shaking off some of the late December weakness this morning. BTC +2% starting off the year strong while China -2% faring less well on weaker mfg and retail sales numbers. Yields are ticking down 3-5bps across the curve.

TSLA deliveries will be out around 9am with bogeys a little over 500k. >515k would be viewed positively as would imply TSLA will hit their guide.

Good to be back. Let’s get straight to it…


AAPL: Apple offers iPhone discounts in China as competition intensifies

Reuters:

Apple is offering rare discounts of up to 500 yuan ($68.50) on its latest iPhone models in China, as the U.S. tech giant moves to defend its market share against rising competition from domestic rivals like Huawei.

The four-day promotion, running from Jan. 4-7, applies to several iPhone models when purchased using specific payment methods, according to its website.

The flagship iPhone 16 Pro with a starting price of 7,999 yuan and the iPhone 16 Pro Max with a starting price of 9,999 yuan will see the highest discount of 500 yuan. The iPhone 16 and iPhone 16 Plus will receive a 400 yuan reduction.

AAPL: UBS cuts estimates below street on iPhone data

UBS analyst David Vogt lowers iPhone estimates following weak sell-through data, with November's 8% Y/Y decline prompting December quarter unit forecast reduction to 74M from 77M ($67.2B from $69.7B revenue). UBS now projects 4% Y/Y revenue decline versus previous flat outlook and consensus +2%. UBS notes a slight offset from Services strength on AppStore performance but overall Q4 estimates reduced: revenue to $120.8B from $123.3B (below $124.9B consensus) and EPS to $2.25 from $2.31 (below $2.36 consensus). Maintains Neutral rating with $236 target.


NVDA: BAML reiterates Buy and $190 PT ahead of CES / Bernstein Asia analysts cautious / GB300 News

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to TMT Breakout to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 TMT Breakout
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share

Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More